The Irate Nation Est. 2001

Paul Ryan: Hiding Spending Doesn't Reduce Spending

"I will not sign a plan that adds one dime to our deficits -- either now or in the future."
(Remarks by President Obama to a Joint Session of Congress, September 9, 2009)

This afternoon Budget Committee Ranking Member Ryan walked through why the bill put forward by Democrats FAILS the President's deficit test.
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The Majority Leader said the bill scores as reducing deficit by $131 billion over the next 10 years.

First a little bit about CBO: I work with them every single day; very good people; great professionals. They do their jobs well. But their job is to score what is placed in front of them. And what has been placed in front of them is a bill that is fill of gimmicks and smoke and mirrors.

Now what do I mean when I say that?

First off, the bill has ten years of tax increases and ten years of Medicare cuts to pay for six years of spending. The true ten year cost when subsidies kick-in? $2.3 trillion.

The bill is full of gimmicks that more than erase the false claim of deficit reduction:

- $52 billion of savings is claimed by counting increased Social Security payroll revenues. These dollars are already claimed for future Social Security beneficiaries, and claiming to offset the cost of this bill either means were double-counting or were not going to pay Social Security benefits.

- $72 billion in savings is claimed from the CLASS Act long-term care insurance. These so-called savings are not offsets, but rather premiums collected to pay for future benefits. Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad has called these savings, A ponzi scheme that would make Bernie Madoff proud.

Additionally, the nearly half-trillion dollars in Medicare cuts cannot be counted twice. Medicare is in dire need of reform in order to make certain that we can ensure health security for future seniors.

Using Medicare as a piggy bank, it raids a half trillion dollars from retirees health coverage to fund the creation of another open-ended health care entitlement.

The Presidents chief Medicare actuary says up to 20% of Medicare providers may go bankrupt or stop taking Medicare beneficiaries as a result. Millions of seniors who have chosen Medicare Advantage will lose the coverage they now enjoy.

Objections to the policy aside, you cannot use these savings twice to both extend the life of Medicare and to pay for other spending. The half-trillion dollars in Medicare cuts are either to extend the programs solvency or to reduce the cost of this deficit but not both as its authors claim.

When you strip away the double-counting of Medicare cuts, the so-called savings from Social Security payroll taxes and the CLASS Act, the deficit increases by $460 billion over first ten years and $1.4 trillion over second ten years.

Finally, one of the most expensive and most cynical of the gimmicks applies to Medicare physician payments, the so-called Doc Fix.

By your own estimate, the Doc Fix adds an additional $371 billion to the cost of health care reform. With the price tag beyond what most Americans could handle, the Majority decided to simply remove this costly provision and deal with it in a stand-alone bill.

Ignoring this additional cost does not remove it from the backs of taxpayers. Hiding spending doesnt reduce spending.

“All Campaign Hacks”

From Dan Gerstein at Forbes, "All Campaign Hacks:" ...the Obama White House's biggest weakness: The president's top advisers are not just overly political, they are almost totally political. Indeed, this West Wing is stacked with "hacks"--campaign professionals who are acculturated to think, act and win in the hothouse environments of elections, not to govern a bitterly divided country in extremely difficult times.

The whole article is very good, esp. as it does something I wish the right-wing blogosphere would do more of: offer criteria for what would make better governance. One problem with going to conspiracy theory to attack the White House is that if the White House does something right, it can't be given any credit. As of this writing, it is hoped President Obama will do the right thing regarding Afghanistan - there is an example of stunning success in governance and accountability there, though not widespread. It is also hoped he will stop pandering to the most rabid portions of the Leftist base and stop making cap-and-trade and health care reform a priority, and instead do his job and keep us safe; show trials of terrorists captured during the Bush administration are PR gimmicks, not serious policy. I can't conceive of him lowering taxes or cutting spending, but it would be nice to see him back away from spending that dwarfs the Bush years. I know that last wish is actually realistic, far more realistic than you would expect given the ranting right and left that occurs nowadays. All that has to happen is for the President to realize that his fellow Democrats in Congress are a bunch of losers, and stop giving them blanket support for pork. A quick look at how they handled the tea parties, the health care debate and these past elections goes a long way to proving that.

Off-topic: from my blog - Does Power Corrupt?

Obama: ‘We Were Dealt a Tough Hand’ on Economy

By:AssociatedPress

So what do you think?

Can President Obama continue to blame former President Bush for out of control spending?

Do states that have higher taxes provide better services?

"The Big-Spending, High-Taxing, Lousy-Services Paradigm," William Vogeli - re: California, from the article: Take entitlements and public-employee pensions, which are, Watkins says, “the real source of the state’s fiscal distress.” A 2005 study by the Legislative Analyst’s Office (California’s version of the Congressional Budget Office) found that pensions for California’s government employees “surpassed the other states—often significantly—at all retirement ages.” California government workers retiring at age 55 received larger pensions than their counterparts in any other state (leaving aside the many states where retirement as early as 55 isn’t even possible). The California Foundation for Fiscal Responsibility periodically posts a list of retired city managers, state administrators, public university deans, and police chiefs who receive pensions of at least $100,000 per year. The latest report shows 5,115 lucky members in this six-figure club. The state’s annual bill for polishing their gold watches is $610 million.

The article above seems to contend that they just find newer ways of wasting money: it's not a terribly long read, and most of you are familiar with the argument, but the numbers are still shocking.

Off-topic: William Blake, "The Tyger" - one of the reasons I started writing on poetry is that political news tends to be the same thing, over and over again. California's budget crisis has been documented for years upon years now.